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But, Ms. Cohen added, less dramatic forecasts rarely make headlines.
Sooner or later, they make fools of those who offer dramatic forecasts.
Estimates of the overall numbers can vary by tens of millions, but Alan Blinder, an economics professor at Princeton University, wrote in 2006 that sending service jobs abroad could cause some 40m American jobs to disappear to India and other emerging countries.Such dramatic forecasts caused widespread alarm.
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With so much dramatic change forecast, how do Afghans feel about their prospects in 2014?
We may note further that the executive, in forming a lay and random group into a committee supposedly capable of forecasting dramatic success, indicts, and in fact unsays, his protestation of his own possession of superior financial or mercantile powers.
The dramatic deterioration in FOMC forecasts in the fourth quarter of 2008 rationalises the Fed's pre-emptive easing that year.
This August researchers making a first analysis of data from the European Space Agency's observation satellite CryoSat-2 were startled to find that the loss of sea ice – as measured both by depth, and by area – was far more dramatic than their own forecasts had predicted.
They'll see improvements in the bottom line, but they'll resist making dramatic changes in their forecasts".
But the McKinsey Global Institute in a recent report forecast a dramatic increase in the assets of sovereign-wealth funds over the next few years.
(Unlike most developed countries Australia was allowed to increase its emissions by 8%.) Given the dramatic downward revisions in forecast emissions in recent years, because of lower electricity demand and the decline in heavy manufacturing, this "carry over" allows Australia to claim it has met the small decrease required by its second 2020 target, when its actual emissions are increasing.
However, meteorologists have forecast a dramatic change in weather overnight in Sydney, with thunder storms expected to bring a rapid drop in temperatures.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com