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And even while considering a change in the direction of interest rate policy, central bankers said "the economy continued to be weak -- indeed weaker than many had expected -- and data and anecdotal reports from around the country had yet to point to persuasive signs of a turnaround".
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The direction of interest rates may help answer the question.
Bond prices move in the opposite direction of interest rates.
Such contracts are frequently used to bet on the direction of interest rates.
Of course, projecting the direction of interest rates requires a judgment about the economy.
In the past, the European Central Bank refused to commit itself on the future direction of interest rates.
To avoid making bets on the direction of interest rates, they stagger the maturity dates of the bonds.
"Investors should be aware that they are essentially betting on the direction of interest rates," Ms. Allen said.
How confident he sounds about the inflation outlook could be hugely important for the near-term direction of interest rates.
Last month, Morgan Stanley reported a steep decrease in its earnings because of some wrong bets on the direction of interest rates by its bond traders.
Mr. Lucas says the trusts are generally a good alternative to owning bonds, whose prices move in the opposite direction of interest rates.
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