Tuberculosis is already at epidemic levels, and an expected surge in AIDS cases and hepatitis complications could, by the most dire models, kill more than half a million people a year in a generation or two.
"Our most conservative, dire models where the engineers awful-ize everything puts us at 97% chance of success," Maize said.
Hugh Lewis, an aerospace researcher with the University of Southampton, spoke at the conference about a dire computer model his team ran.
Those patterns matched three rather dire climate model predictions: that storm tracks the paths along which cyclones travel in the Northern and Southern hemispheres would shift poleward; that subtropical dry regions would expand, and that the tops of the highest clouds would get even higher.
The real-world impact could be even more dire than the model predicts, Wittemyer says, because poachers target the largest adults, whose deaths decrease birth rates and disrupt social networks.
There is a dire need for models that address sustainable urbanism and mobility.
The government could try to make prices increase faster and faster, hoping that policy would outrun people's rapidly-adjusting expectations, but the consequences would likely be dire.Mathematically, DSGE models represent the economy as a ball that rests at the bottom of a rounded valley.
Given the model's dire predictions, aggressive climate policies may be needed to protect the world's most vulnerable populations, the researchers said.
Over the years, he said, there were simple cases and tough cases, and cases with dire consequences, like the model prisoner of 18 years who, shortly after his release, raped a teenage neighbor and set her home on fire.
The situation was dire (a circumstance that Model would come to be familiar with): two of the three corps of the German Eighteenth Army had been shattered, and contact lost with the III SS Panzer Corps defending Narva.
