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Here's the TIPS spread, the difference between the interest rate on ordinary 10-year bonds and inflation-protected securities: Is this alarming?
The TED spread is the difference between the interest rate banks charge each other on 3-month loans (3-month LIBOR) and the interest rate on 3-month U.S. Treasury bills.
The main reason, real estate specialists say, is that the difference between the interest rate for adjustable-rate mortgages and that for fixed-rate mortgages has been too small to make the variable-rate loans appealing to borrowers.
This chart shows a less favorable indicator — the TED spread, the difference between the interest rate on three-month Treasury bills and three-month LIBOR, the rate banks charge on loans to each other.
One indicator I like to look at is the German "breakeven" — the difference between the interest rate on ordinary German bonds and on bonds indexed to inflation (which it turns out means overall eurozone inflation).
That's the difference between the interest rate on ordinary German 5-year bonds and the interest rate on 5-year bonds that are indexed to inflation (as measured by the euro area harmonized CPI); because one bond is protected against inflation while the other isn't, the breakeven amounts to an implicit market forecast of inflation.
Similar(51)
But the legislation also potentially generates nearly $14 billion in revenue over five years by capturing what has at times been a windfall to lenders: the difference between the interest rates paid by students and rates paid by lenders.
On Thursday, the difference between the interest rates on Greek and German bonds — a measure of the risk investors perceive in the Greek debt — rose to nearly four full percentage points, its highest level since the euro was adopted.
Mr. Monti argued that the difference between the interest rates of German and Italian government bonds, albeit less than before the European Central Bank's bond-buying offer, remained "higher than what is justified" by economic fundamentals.
Because inflation has been very low during the recession, many investors have not been focused on inflation-adjusted bonds, which makes it easy to gauge the broad market consensus for inflation: the difference between the interest rates offered for TIPS and for plain Treasury bonds indicates what investors think future inflation will be.
And there is a large difference (spread) between the interest rates the banks set and the T-bill rate.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com