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Three major subjects where probabilities may actually be used can be identified when regarding the scenario development: the scenario creation process, the scenarios themselves and the scenario controlling.
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Global development in the scenario Regional centers is characterized by a growing focus on self-sufficiency and preservation of local identities.
Shaded cells indicate decisive factors in the development of the scenario.
The Siegener approach of scenario technique that was used for the development of the scenario sets for the application example will be briefly presented.
We followed the RAM recommendations for the development of the scenario lists, rating scales, and statistical analyses.
With respect to the economic development, the BAU scenario as well as the RET scenarios is supposed to have positive effects (see Table 4).
One classification criterion is the use of probabilities for the development of the scenarios.
These factors will be embedded in all surviving institutions in 2025 and hence are not key differentiators in the development of the scenarios.
The approach taken should be based on available data and resources in the utility, and on available data for the future development of the scenarios.
Further on, our results show the highest decrease in the sediment retention service for the Development scenario and the highest increase for the Conservation scenario.
These indicators are then incorporated in the model calculations as factors determining urban development, related to the scenario outlines.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com