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The model is able to restore equilibrium after these step function epidemics because the government and/or donors immediately detect the epidemic and they rationally increase funding towards whatever disease has risen above its baseline.
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The untransformed Cullen method with standard confidence intervals detected the two "epidemic" years in the remaining two sites but also triggered many false alarms.
We fit weekly Z rate differences between prefectures located in the south and north of a designated prefecture with linear regression models to detect the surging trend of the epidemic for the prefecture.
For the subsection "Tracking Epidemics Using Search Query Data" (shown by [21] and [5]), the results shown are promising as they could detect the occurrence of ILI epidemics in a given region in a relatively real-time manner with minimal error.
In the present study, multiple regression was constructed to detect the relationship between HFRS epidemics and climate factors in Shenyang, by incorporating climate factors of previous months based on a PCA.
The objective of this study was to evaluate whether intra-hospital surveillance systems including an automatic syndromic surveillance system can detect the onset of influenza epidemics earlier than regional influenza surveillance networks.
In this study, we propose a novel statistical approach based on linear regression models to detect the future trend of HFMD epidemics rather than detecting outbreaks of HFMD.
Most of these strains harbored an msp1 and msp2 genotype that was detected before the epidemic.
The serologic survey demonstrated that WNV infection also occurred in premises without clinical cases and that WNV was spread over an area wider than initially detected during the epidemic.
However, these secondary flavivirus/ZIKV probable infections were likely recent ZIKV infections because ZIKV was the only virus detected during the epidemic in Yap, a relatively small and isolated island (11 ).
An important matter of concern when dealing with the surveillance of infectious diseases is that of detecting the onset of an epidemic as soon as possible.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com