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— NATE SILVER Based on the delegates counted so far Tuesday night and those accumulated previously, Mr. Romney has a 96 percent chance of winning an outright majority of Republican delegates, according to the default settings of FiveThirtyEight's "magic numbers" calculator, which is a relatively simple top method to project the remaining delegates based on the ones that have been awarded so far.
The Democrats apportion delegates based on the percentage of votes each candidate gets.
He didn't seem particularly fond of just splitting the delegates based on the January contests.
Wyoming will award 12 delegates based on the results of the caucuses.
In contrast, almost all Democratic primaries allocate delegates based on the proportion of the vote each candidate receives.
Back to Mr. Wolfson, who says he thinks the committee should divide up the delegates based on the popular vote and seat them at the convention.
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Each precinct is apportioned a number of delegates based on Democratic turnout in the past two elections.
The Democrats will award 78 of their 97 delegates based on Saturday's caucuses, with the rest determined by so-called super delegates, not the primary, as has been the practice for decades.
Note: We use simple rounding to distribute the delegates, based on popular vote percentages.
The strange way the Democrats have of choosing delegates by proportional representation and giving more delegates based on how congressional delegations voted in previous elections makes it hard for the primary results to actually move either of the candidates very far ahead or fall very far behind.
Because of a Democratic Party policy that limits the allocation of delegates based on open primaries, Vice President Al Gore and former Senator Bill Bradley have pulled out of the primary here on Feb. 22, and will participate instead in a separate Democratic caucus on March 11.
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