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Recidivism studies consistently show declining rates of crime with age.
(Krugman offers more possible explanations: declining rates of population or productivity growth).
More important, low and declining rates this year have allowed more homeowners to refinance their mortgages.
This has been blamed on everything from immigration to trade to declining rates of unionisation.
"We can't prove what are the changes in environment and policy that led to" the declining rates, Dr. Frieden said.
After several years of declining rates of violent crime in the Bay Area, Oakland shooting incidents increased dramatically in 2011.
Other trends -- chiefly, the general economic health of the country, declining rates of child poverty, and unrelated changes in child welfare policies -- could also be responsible.
It may be true that the modern state's monopoly of force has led, in some contexts, to declining rates of violent death.
The increase came after several years of steadily declining rates and was caused mainly by a rise in infant deaths in New York's poorest communities.
By now, the impact of declining rates has already been factored into prices, but a carefully selected portfolio of bank stocks could still outpace the market, said some fund managers and bank stock analysts.
While the overall situation is disconcerting, there is still hope -- especially if the standard for success is defined realistically as an absence of civil war, a gradually improving economy, and slowly declining rates of political and criminal violence.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com