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Regarding the choice of linear versus exponential decay of confidence in secondary evidence, we observe better performance (measured by recall-precision analysis) using the linear model when accompanied by more extensive secondary evidence and improved filtering of false positive linkages prior to integration.
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This suggests that, independently of all other factors, there is a monotonic, roughly exponential, decay of subjective confidence during the few hundred milliseconds between stimulus presentation and the response.
It is important to know the decay of knowledge, skills, and confidence over time to provide evidence-based guidance on timing of follow-up training.
In order to provide evidence-based guidance on timing of follow-up training it is important to know the decay of knowledge, skills, and confidence over time.
We propose the concept of Decaying Confidence Functions to express the time-varying uncertainty of aging knowledge.
Roger Hiorns, whose sculptures have housed bovine brain matter and fungus-like accretions of beguiling, decaying blue crystals, cites BSE as a tipping point of a public crisis of confidence in the ruling elite.
"A ton of confidence.
"A lot of confidence.
'Crisis of confidence'?
A lack of confidence?
Monday: Vote of confidence?
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com