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For this purpose, a stochastic weather generator was used to spatially downscale the daily projections of Global Climate Models (GCMs) from coarse grid resolution to the local point scale.
We explore a detailed individual-based spatially explicit metapopulation model of a univoltine butterfly species where all processes are affected by daily weather, using historical daily weather data and future daily projections as input, in order to examine responses of a butterfly population in landscapes under various states of fragmentation and two climate change scenarios.
We use aggregated daily projections of maximum temperature and relative humidity data to estimate exposure for the periods 1981 2020 (reference period) and 2021 2050 (future period).
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While attention has been paid to the impacts of climate change on future design rainfalls at daily or longer time scales, the potential changes in short duration design rainfalls have been often overlooked due to the limited availability of sub-daily projections and observations.
Daily meteorological projections from nine global climate models were used in the model DYRESM as the driving forces of the thermodynamics of the reservoir under study.
Daily climate projections from regional climate models (RCMs) were also applied to climate mortality studies.
Table 3 presents the percent of variance in daily temperature projections explained by the simulation and the year.
A study by Hajat et al. (2014), based on modeled daily temperature projections for the whole of the UK, estimated increases of 115%and78%8% in annual heat-related deaths over the 2020s 2050s and 2050s 2080s, and corresponding decreases of 6%and10%0% in cold-related deaths when future population projections were taken into account.
The company, based in Oklahoma City, pared its third-quarter projection for daily gas production to a range of 1.06 billion to 1.14 billion cubic feet a day from a previous forecast of 1.16 billion to 1.24 billion.
Because daily time series of temperature projections were not available for Australia, for consistency we used monthly projections for UK regions and Australian cities.
The projections are recalibrated daily, as new crimes occur and updated data is fed into the program.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com