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This flexible functional form allows many credible incidence trajectories while constraining the trajectory to evolve smoothly with respect to time.
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In the declining background mortality scenario, higher and more recent peaks resulted, which were plausible except that the log-logistic long-survival model predicted a non-credible peak incidence of 20%.
When applied to data from Colombia, a credible trajectory of incidence is generated which indicates a much lower historic level of HIV incidence than has previously been estimated using other methods.
The California Lupus Surveillance Project (CLSP) is part of a national effort funded by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to determine more credible estimates of incidence and prevalence of SLE, with a special focus on Hispanics and Asians.
95% credible intervals for the incidence values reported in each study were obtained by taken the 95% interval of a gamma distribution with parameters α, the number of symptomatic RV+ episodes, and β, the inverse of the personyears of observation.
There is no credible statistic on the incidence of male osteoporosis in Asian countries that used EL like Malaysia and Indonesia.
Note that the above procedure will increase the 95% credible interval around the global incidence estimate as more uncertainty is taken into account.
Given different assumptions about the survival time following infection and different parametric forms of the infection curve, the credible interval in which that incidence may have peaked was between 1988 and 1992.
Also, there appears to be no credible data on the true incidence for each spinal region in young people.
Lifestyle factors are responsible for a considerable portion of cancer incidence worldwide, but credible estimates from the World Health Organization and the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) suggest that the fraction of cancers attributable to toxic environmental exposures is between 7% and 19%.
We constructed a simulation model to compute the incidences of highly credible gastrointestinal illness (HCGI) in recreational bathers at two intermittently contaminated beaches of Orange County, California.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com