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In comparison, the combined analysis yielded age estimates with a mean 95% credibility interval width of 7.0 My.
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MtDNA may have further utility in making progress on the problem, as our analysis of posterior credibility interval widths indicates that longer sequences would likely improve divergence time estimates.
Furthermore, the width of the credibility interval of the posterior distribution was affected to a greater extend by taxonomic sampling than the mean.
They are based on the computation of predictive gains from further inclusions, both on the estimated DLT probability of the MTD and on precision of DLT probability of the MTD as measured on the width of its 95% credibility interval.
We also examined whether more sequence data would improve our estimates on divergence times by plotting the posterior means of divergence times against the width of their corresponding 95% credibility interval (see Additional File 1, Figure S3), following Yang and Rannala [ 22].
The poll had a credibility interval of four percentage points.
The poll has a credibility interval of 5 percentage points.
The dashed line is the prediction with maximum likelihood, the shaded area is the 95%% credibility interval on the prediction.
The probability that the mean difference was positive (Pr(diff > 0) = 1, with a credibility interval [−0.38, −0.33]).
The poll had a credibility interval, a measure of accuracy, of about 2 percentage points.
The online poll among all Republicans has a credibility interval of 2.1percentt.
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