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That difference is even larger in several closely contested states.
But generally, the model shows very little movement since June in the most highly contested states.
CBS News is sending monitoring teams into closely contested states to help decipher data.
But his tentative schedule includes stops in closely contested states like Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan.
It went unnoticed by no one that Virginia, among the most tightly contested states, may be among the most affected.
History suggests that this election could be decided by a small number of votes in a few closely contested states.
But they are bracing for a rush of Schubert-designed television ads in the four contested states.
Grass-roots efforts to increase voter turnout during last year's presidential election were effective, particularly in the fiercely contested states.
Mr. Bush's last-minute fly-around to 15 closely contested states reaped broad victories in most places he touched down.
Polls show Mr. Nader attracting 5percentt or less of the vote in half a dozen tightly contested states.
But the techniques used here and in other states in 1998 are being used in this election's most contested states.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com