Our fundamentals-based model, which evaluates the public fund-raising totals along with other factors, like the ideological positions of the candidates relative to the state, would now project Mr. Markey to win the contest by roughly 12 percentage points, not far from the recent polls.
The entire contest was roughly two months long.
But Spitzer said the contest was roughly even because super PACS have declared they'll spend millions to back Stringer.
The judicial candidates in Tuesday's decisive primary contests raised roughly $2 million.
But, in contests that roughly fitted an ideological pattern, liberals had the edge (see table).Trade unions did especially nicely.
Started in 1998 by the fiddler Jana Jae, who has played with Chet Atkins, Roy Clark and the Nitty Gritty Dirt Band, the contest draws around 3,000 people a day to witness roughly 100 fiddlers competing for the grand prize of $1,000.
Turnout in the contest was about 600,000 voters, a significant increase from the roughly 450,000 who voted in the state in 2008.
In 2008, the combined Democratic and Republican turnout in all primary and caucus contests nationwide was roughly a quarter of the adult population.
Translated roughly, the contest pits policy against popularity.
The band was then asked to play in the North Pole for roughly 100 contest winners of a concert set up by Molson, a Canadian beer company.
