The specific electoral effects of the 2009 10 expenses scandal have been studied using aggregate constituency-level data (Curtice et al., 2010; Eggers and Fischer, 2011; Pattie and Johnston, in press) and survey data with a pre- and post-election panel (Pattie and Johnston, in press).
Constituency level opinion polls, the data in detail.
But they failed to predict how many seats she would win, a trickier task that requires more detailed, constituency-level polling data, he said.
By digging into the detailed neighbourhood level data, the divergent experiences of local areas within regions and parliamentary constituencies can be teased out.
Fail to mount credible constituency level challenges.
Wins in some marginal battles at constituency level.
Fail to provide credible challenge at constituency level.
The survey shows little interest at constituency level in deselection.
Ms Jowell added: "The selection process at a constituency level is more likely to select men.
We have 1,000 health centres at constituency level and three in each sub-county.
At the constituency level, you do exactly what Jack Straw wants: you pick a local MP by numbering your preferences.
