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The first is what Aczel and his team call "confident ignorance".
The first is what Balazs and his team call "confident ignorance".
Those who disdain Wagner, often out of a confident ignorance of his art and his actual beliefs, will miss much.
That hypothesis — thinking you are above making mistakes when in fact you're not — fits nicely into the most egregious form of stupidity Aczel was able to identify: the category of "confident ignorance".
That hypothesis — thinking you are above making mistakes when in fact you're not — fits nicely into the most egregious form of stupidity Balazs was able to identify: the category of "confident ignorance".
Published in this month's edition of the journal Intelligence, the study found that there were three main categories of foolish behaviour – confident ignorance, lack of control and absentmindedness, reports the Research Digest news site.
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Alternatively the agent may simply have no idea whatsoever about the logical status of what is in fact a logical truth upon which she must post odds, in which case a confidence of.5, or perhaps remaining entirely agnostic by not adopting any particular level of confidence, seems more reasonable than her being fully confident despite her ignorance.
The olds' edge is not in knowledge but in being utterly confident in their ignorance.
One option is Donald Trump, who at best is confident in his complete ignorance about climate change, and at worst is selling out the welfare of future generations for personal gain while protecting his own assets.
Confident that such distortions and ignorance will prevail, Khartoum has moved decisively onto the military offensive.
Unfortunately for them (and those whom they are advising), their confident "certainty" is based on ignorance rather than understanding.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com