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Yes, Obama won the debate: 48% of a scientifically conducted poll with CNN voters confirmed the president's victory, but only by a relatively small margin.
In the same way, a well conducted poll of 1,000 people can, most of the time, give us an idea of what the country as a whole is thinking.
In September, a nationally conducted poll of small business owners by Lake Research Partners found that "most business owners explicitly support government regulations of the products companies buy and sell, and nearly three out of four support a proposed reform of the Toxic Substances Reform Act requiring manufacturers to show their chemicals are safe".
Like all such surveys, its purpose was to give the impression of a scientifically conducted poll so the results could be trotted out before lawmakers to demonstrate support for the pollsters' pre-defined legislative agenda -- i.e., restrictions on patients' legal rights.
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A quick methodological note: Gallup conducted polls much less frequently before 1984.
The poll is not a scientific survey of members' opinion but broadly chimes with previous systematically conducted polls.
Gallup conducted polls only to prove the accuracy of his surveys, there being no other way to demonstrate it.
Instead, individual newspapers and franchises conducted polls of small groups to take the national pulse on various issues.
Papers conducted polls asking men how drunk they would have to be to consider having sex with her.
He has on occasion conducted polls together with Fred Steeper, Governor Bush's pollster on international affairs and foreign trade issues.
The company produced and conducted polls that included predictable questions about electricity usage and the utility's performance.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com