Especially in the case of climate projections, Jones (2000) precisely distinguishes between scenarios, forecasts and projected ranges of outcomes.
The Low Carbon Futures project is developing a tool that uses UKCP09 climate projections input to predict dwelling overheating risks.
These models give us the future climate projections I'm speaking of here.
Climate projections suggest tropical cyclones may become stronger and more frequent over coming decades.
That expression has become almost boilerplate of late in discussions of climate projections.
Since climate projections go out not days or weeks, but decades, modelers don't even try to make specific forecasts.
Climate projections are mathematically easier because we can only identify changes in averaged weather in the far future.
It uses the most likely of the UK climate projections for 2050, a 'high emissions scenario' with a 50% probability.
Climate projections predict an increase in future climate variability.
Climate projections, in turn, differ tremendously depending on the assumed emission scenario, the applied global climate model and even when downscaling climate projections using different regional climate models.
How can scientists use this knowledge to improve climate projections and models while respecting indigenous culture?
