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Climate forecasters have egg on their faces.
If hazes do in fact drive most North Atlantic temperature swings, long-range climate forecasters would have to get into the far hazier business of predicting volcanic eruptions and pollution trends.
While weather forecasters still can't peer much more than a week into the future, climate forecasters are now claiming they can predict the speed of the North Atlantic's great climate-changing current as much as 4 years ahead.
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The new modeling "is a definite advance," says climate forecaster Doug Smith of the Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research in Exeter, U.K. "It's consistent with what we're finding from a range of models.
ENSO impacts are one of the few climate anomalies forecasters today have a better handle of.
By looking at annual variations in various climate parameters, forecasters can make predictions about the overall number and intensity of tropical cyclones that will occur in a given season.
For its part, the public must have confidence in climate-related forecasters for it to take their forecasts seriously.
It is now clear that if climate-change forecasters have erred, they have done so by being too conservative, not too alarmist.
The problem is, however, that there is a strong current of climate scepticism among weather forecasters.
Five years after its original launch date, a new observation satellite lifted off on Friday in California with a new generation of observation tools critical to weather forecasters and climate scientists alike.
Climate Scientists Are Better Forecasters Than Economists in general, a new study concludes, reports Kieran Cooke at the Climate News Network.
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