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To be sure, the study concludes that the overall impact of climate change on farming is expected to be large: Even with adjustments in both farming practices and trade, farming production would decline by roughly one-sixth, using the baseline scenario for climate change projected by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and incorporating weather projections over a 30-year period.
That report, by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, projected a rise in temperatures of up to nine degrees in the next century unless action is taken to lower carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere.
Using data from 540 living species, including amphibians, reptiles, birds and mammals, Wiens and colleagues compared their rates of evolution with the rates of climate change projected for the end of this century.
But this is hardly a unique situation, with climate change projected to result in more frequent extreme droughts and rises in urban population putting ever more pressure on limited water resources.
Sources: Paris agreement parties from United Nations, total greenhouse gas emissions from World Bank, NDC data from United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, projected GDP from OECD, projected U.S. emissions from the State Department via UNFCCC.
We reported pieces of science suggesting that sea levels would rise higher than the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projected, and pieces of science forecasting there would be no net warming over the next 10 years.
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The climate changes projected for the 21st century will have consequences on the hydrological response of catchments.
Thus, Ontario white pine populations may benefit from the climate changes projected to occur in the province over the next 50 100 years.
Species that are able to respond quickly to environmental changes, whether through phenotypic plasticity, movement, or evolution will have a higher probability of surviving the rapid human-driven land-use and climate changes projected for the coming centuries.
Most of the carbon that we worry about, the carbon that will drive the truly apocalyptic climate changes projected for the end of the century, is still in the ground.
The same applies to, for instance, a climate change project.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com