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Officials expected that, barring significant changes in wind patterns and temperatures, all would be out by early in the week.
About half of the variation in maximum ice loss each September is down to changes in wind patterns, the study says.
The scientists said the change is related to local changes in wind patterns, partly driven by the recovery of the ozone hole.
Recent changes in wind patterns in the Arctic have also contributed, he said, because it has redirected much of the floating ice.
One key data set omitted was sea ice in the Antarctic, because it was increasing in some areas and decreasing in others, due to reduced ozone causing changes in wind patterns and sea-surface circulation.
At a recent conference in Sweden on that very question, everyone agreed that "climate change, including warmer temperatures, changes in wind patterns, ocean acidification, and other factors will influence harmful algal blooms," Kudela wrote.
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The scientists are concerned that a sudden change in wind patterns might send this fresher water south via the Labrador Current into the North Atlantic where it could interfere with the complex "thermohaline" ocean circulation.
"This result shows that this change in wind pattern has been very favorable," Dr. Weimerskirch said.
"Light rainfall is likely in states surrounding Delhi and in Delhi over the next three days, and this could result in a change in wind pattern in the region," Charan Singh, a scientist at India Meteorological Department, told Reuters.
A change in the direction of ocean currents in the equatorial Pacific is a signature feature of El Niño, where changes to the sea surface are intimately linked with variations in wind patterns and rainfall distribution.
Multiple studies have been looking into how these changes might affect sea ice extent: for example, changes in prevailing wind patterns or in the magnitude of ocean waves, both of which can herd the ice toward or away from the coast.
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