It is now clear that if climate-change forecasters have erred, they have done so by being too conservative, not too alarmist.
Any predictions about the storm's path and strength are subject to change, but forecasters and officials believe that Hurricane Sandy will have a significant effect on a large swath of the East Coast.
"They may be getting better". Brooks says the change in forecaster performance may reflect a change in decision-making psychology rather than declining forecast ability.
The mission will monitor changes in solar wind, to warn forecasters of changes which affect satellites, power grids and communication systems.
President Donald Trump once again cast doubt on the scientific consensus behind climate change Wednesday night because forecasters said it could be cold in parts of America this week.
It's interesting to see how it has been worded for its youthful audience: Forecasters have changed their prediction of how much Earth's temperature will change, saying it won't get hotter for five years.
The following day the watches were changed to warnings, since forecasters predicted that the system would reach tropical storm status.
We assume that such a transition to warn-on-forecast will not only change the role of the forecaster (Stuart et al. 2006), but will also affect the practices of forecast end-users and responders to a warning.
But it did not change the basic calculus for forecasters and officials in the drought-scarred West.
The new projections say more about the fevered presumptions of the forecasters than any change in demographics.
With just four days to go, most forecasters predict little change in the Senate and a minimal Democratic gain in the House.
