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But the chances of miscalculation are already quite high and getting higher.
To lessen the chances of miscalculation or accident, he should at least remove from alert status some of the hundreds of nuclear weapons that are poised to launch within minutes.
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It is unclear if China really intends to respond militarily to Japanese or other planes flying through the zone, but the chance of miscalculation or error grows as the dispute escalates.
That is why it will be hard for Mr. Trump to fulfill his vow to "solve this problem". And every day, there is the chance of miscalculation, or an accident.
At the same time, Moon's advisers fear that a Trump visit to the DMZ could increase the chances of a miscalculation that could provoke a military confrontation or have other unintended consequences, such as harming Asian financial markets or disrupting planning for the Winter Olympics, which will be held in February in PyeongChang, South Korea.
A world with dozens of nuclear powers is a world where the chances of nuclear miscalculation or accident would almost certainly lead to tragedy.
Mr. Rumsfeld said he had talked with both countries about steps they could take to help reduce tensions and the chances of such a miscalculation, like restraining their artillery to firing only in self-defense along the line that divides Kashmir, a border region they both claim.
"We are in strong agreement that in order to reduce the chances of miscommunication, misunderstanding or miscalculation, it is important that our military-to-military ties are solid, consistent and not subject to shifting political winds," Gates said.
Earlier this month, the Russian deputy defence minister, Anatoly Antonov, reaffirmed Russia's intentions to stick to the agreements in the New START treated and a 2011 accord called the Vienna Document, which allow for mutual inspections of nuclear sites as a way of building confidence and transparency, lessening the chances of misunderstanding leading to catastrophic miscalculations.
That there's no chance of a political miscalculation, and if there is such a chance, that they can perfectly predict the outcome of the ensuing chaos?
They also raise the chance of potentially catastrophic miscalculation by both sides -- an issue we must urgently deal with through positive engagement with the Chinese Navy.
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