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Rating agencies grade those securities to let investors know the chances of default.
That can raise the chances of default and lower potential recoveries.
And if recession increases everyone's chances of default, then capital charges rise across the board.
The state has a 21% chances of default, more than any other, according to CMA Datavision, a derivatives information provider.
Risk-management teams at banks have traditionally been divided into watertight compartments, with some people worrying about credit risk (the chances of default on loans, say), others about market risk (such as sudden price movements) and yet others about operational risks such as IT failures or rogue traders.The crisis has rung the death-knell for that approach.
"We haven't done anything to hedge our global government bond fund portfolio for an explicit default," he said, "because: a) we think the chances of default are still small; and b) the consequences would probably be so systemic and devastating it would be very difficult to hedge".
Similar(52)
The Sept. 11 attacks, Mr. DeRosa-Farag said, sharply increased the chances of defaults.
The White House has pushed for Fannie and Freddie to allow mortgage servicers to reduce the amounts homeowners owe on their mortgages to reduce their chances of defaulting.
This chart, based on data from November 2008 to January 2009, shows how a homeowner's chances of defaulting on a mortgage increase when the amount owed on the loan (or loans) becomes greater than the value of the property itself.
Hence there is zero chance of default.
"Any chance of default?" I asked.
More suggestions(17)
chances of collapse
probabilities of default
chances of breakdown
chances of failure
chances of repayment
instances of default
threats of default
expectations of default
conditions of default
means of default
chances of graduating
chances of re-election
chances of success
chances of bronze
chances of survival
chances of cancellation
chances of ratification
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com