After the 2013 election, there was only one thing the Australian electorate knew with absolute certainty: barring an accident or a Harold Holt tribute dip, Tony Abbott would make it to the next election unscathed.
However, following R v Woollin, it is also possible for a jury to convict if they "feel sure that death or serious injury was a virtual certainty (barring some unforeseen intervention) as a result of the defendant's actions and that the defendant appreciated that such was the case" – known as "oblique intent".
If Worcester lose on Sunday, that would leave them at least 15 points behind with just four games left and all but relegated - barring mathematical certainty.
"It's a subway series -- you gotta take the train," Tom Milan was saying with such an adamant certainty that his buddies at the bar just had to disagree.
And, barring injury, that seems a certainty.
He's the five-alarm problem in the corner of the bar, the fellow with the moral certainties and the hygiene issues.
Surrogate acceptance was more common when price was commensurate with comparators: the bar for clinical certainty, and the acceptability of a surrogate, is partially set by the price of the new intervention.
The only certainty is what happened next: a lost decade behind bars and, much later, in treatment programs, a measure of peace.
While all the details of the already bizarre case have yet to surface, there is one certainty -- Yulia Simonova is facing up to 15 years behind bars if she is convicted, police said.
The other path, the one he follows, involves lowering the bar by admitting a third kind of knowledge, one that lacks certainty: sensitive knowledge.
