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It is always possible that these developments could cause a polling misfire -- in either direction -- to a degree that lacks historical precedent, but with just hours remaining before the vote count begins, it would take just such a systematic error to change the verdict of the pre-election surveys.
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For those on voting rolls but not taxpaying rolls, a crisp bill featuring Benjamin Franklin's visage would cause a stampede to the polls.
Interestingly, Wu doesn't think that his digital platform will cause a turn in the polls.
It's still possible that the right controversial statement could cause a shift in this year's polls, too.
By contrast, standard polls can cause an error in the opposite direction.
The ostensible reason is offence caused after a poll on the channel's website about whether the Soviets should have given up Leningrad during the second world war, but editors say cable companies have admitted in private that they acted after receiving phone calls from the presidential administration.
In fact, it caused a distortion in the polls that registered it as momentum when in fact there was none.
Hundreds of voters turned up at the wrong polling station, causing a traffic jam, and some of them ripped up their voter cards in frustration.
That, in combination with a greater percentage of the vote being cast via absentees than usual, caused a tilt in the exit poll result towards Democrat Tom Barrett. 5. Exit polls don't make assumptions about the electorate.
Herewith, from incontestable to perhaps slightly more idiosyncratic (one choice below caused a respondent to my informal poll to make a bad-fish pucker and say eee-yoo): Jimmy Stewart and Donna Reed, jointly holding the phone to their ears in "It's a Wonderful Life" (1946) "I think I'll go out and find a girl and do a little passionate necking," George Bailey declares.
Europe's populist parties caused an earthquake at the polls, allowing them to take around 30% of seats in the new European Parliament.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com