Then, the forecaster will calculate the forecast power output, ( P_{text{PEESS}}^{text{Forecast}} ), at t.
To calculate the forecast for six hours ahead required him to solve partial differential equations by hand – which took six weeks to compute, and was wildly inaccurate to boot.
The repeaters occurred from 1993 until the forecast time were used to calculate the forecast probability.
Calculate the forecasting error (varepsilon_{t}) of model (h_{t}) using (4), and the weight value (alpha_{t}) of model (h_{t}) using (6).
This publication provides a mathematical formulation for the previous aspects, as well as the design of a CPU utilisation estimator used to calculate the aforementioned forecasts.
The operator after obtaining system data calculates the former forecasting error and then precisely estimates the load demand from the predicted loading in a 5 min resolution.
Because Bueno de Mesquita's model forecasts the future by calculating the impact every player has on every other player, round by round, Bueno de Mesquita can go back and see when some players suddenly become more flexible midway through a negotiation.
This is where things went off the rails: Some analysts, whose earnings forecasts were counted in calculating the market's consensus, did not use the smaller share pool to calculate earnings per share.
In fact, another way to measure the quality of a forecasting system is to calculate the correlation between forecasts and observations.
To begin with, Enron has to come up with a reasonable long-range forecast, calculating the odds of a balmy summer.
