However, in most polynomial models, the linear term is by far the most predictive term compared to quadratic and cubic terms.
In this paper a method is proposed to ensure persistency of excitation by adding a term to the cost function used by the predictive control law.
You seem to have deliberately avoided that; you've written about it in purely predictive terms.
The lowest values of DIC will point to the most appropriate models in predictive terms.
Indeed, the recent paper by Hirsch [8] shows that market models are not much reliable in predictive terms.
The significance of each term of the predictive model was evaluated by p values using a 0.05 significance level; and smaller the p value the more significant are the corresponding term.
In terms of the predictive validity, the risk of taking the child into care in case of high stress in the HBS was increased by 4.5 times (ibid).
A 2007 report for the New Jersey State Education Department found "Research findings on the predictive validity of undergraduate GPA in terms of teacher effectiveness in the classroom are conflicting".
We calculated the predictive value for long-term sickness absence by Cox's proportional hazard in both a univariate regression analysis and a multivariate regression analysis.
The largest improvement in the predictive power of the equal-energy index is gained by adding to it a linear term in the number of noise events.
This function is termed the predictive value function.
