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As I've noted before, the barrage of negative advertising, much of it financed by outside groups, has left both candidates bloodied.
Some local elections officials said that the lack of registration drives by outside groups has been a factor in the decline.
Federal records show that nearly $6 million in media spending by outside groups has targeted Mr. Bayh since he got into the race, and groups have more ready to go next month.
Legal and regulatory shifts have opened new avenues for the wealthy to influence campaigns, and spending by outside groups has more than doubled over the 2008 campaign, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.
But despite the new restrictions, the number of Congressional trips paid for by outside groups has actually increased since 2007, to more than 1,600 from about 1,300, according to Legistorm, a research group that tracks Congressional data.
Spending by outside groups could reach to more than $970 million for the 2012 cycle, although precise estimates are difficult because the rate of spending by outside groups has been rising so quickly since Labor Day But even that increase could substantially understate the total.
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Two other advertisements made by outside groups have already been shown.
Expenditures by outside groups have eclipsed $150 million, with most of the spending in the past few weeks.
The negative ad saturation has shown clear results in Ohio, where Senator Rob Portman, helped by several outside groups, has been hammering former Gov. Ted Strickland, his Democratic challenger, for nearly a year.
Matt Rexroad, Knight's political consultant, said the campaign, which by law cannot coordinate with outside groups, has not gotten reports from its volunteers about any canvassers hitting the streets.
In addition to the money spent by candidates themselves, outside groups have been pouring cash into the closest races.
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