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If Romney doesn't reclaim it from Obama, who defeated John McCain there in 2008 by about three points, it is virtually impossible for him to win.
In Ohio in 2000, for example, George W. Bush was projected to win by eight points in the polling average, but carried the state by about three points instead.
In other words, the totality of state polling — dozens and dozens of state polls, looked at in a careful way — is most consistent with a race in which Mr. Obama leads Mr. Romney by about three points nationally, according to this approach.
Across all nine states, Rasmussen's polls favored Mitt Romney by about three points more than the overall average.
scores showed a steady upward trajectory, rising by about three points per decade, which means that a person whose I. Q
The white share of the electorate, which was eighty-seven per cent in 1992, has steadily declined by about three points in every Presidential election since then.
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Mr. Bush won Colorado by about eight points in 2000.
Polls currently show Clinton beating him by about five points.
Can't you infer from that poll that Mr. Obama is ahead by about two points nationally?
The forecast model now projects Mr. Obama to win Pennsylvania by about seven points.
Londoners shrugged it off; Livingstone has risen by about eight points in the polls since then.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com