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Multiply both the forecasted data to get the forecast for the actual data. .
Multiply both the forecasted data to get the forecast for the actual data.
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For both models, the forecasted data are the air temperatures at 2 m above the ground on a regular latitude-longitude grid spaced by one degree (Figure 1) with a time interval of 6 h to be compared with the observed and climatological data.
Because of this the forecasted data might be slightly overestimated.
Then these areas are inflated resorting to the Chebyshev inequality in order to take into account the forecasted data.
The most common statistical indicators, including root mean square error (RMSE), absolute fraction of variance (R2) and mean square error (MSE), are utilized with the forecasted data (vf) and the actual measured data (vm) to evaluate the performance of the proposed predictor systems.
Knowing the initial network condition at time instant k-1 (vector of SVs (varvec{x}_{k - 1})) and assuming that the forecasted data are available for all the power consumers and generators for the following time instant k, a UKF can be used to determine the network condition on the basis of the transition matrix and available telemetered measurements.
In this paper, wind farm output is simulated using both the forecasted mean value and the sampled deviation.
The same weekly mean values have been used both for comparing observed and forecasted data and for arranging the climatology for each reference area.
However, this approach relies on the accuracy of forecasted data to optimize the set-points and on the effectiveness of communication infrastructures to send them from the central unit to the inverters at the PV panels.
Data from the Norwegian Sea are used to quantify the uncertainty in forecasted data.
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