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We are back to levels seen in 2007 and early 2008 in some credit markets, as represented by the action in the residential mortgage-backed bond index, ABX, a prime indicator of the credit quality of subprime real estate loans.
How's this for a contrary indicator: The first exchange-traded bond index funds debuted last Friday and then were followed by Monday's ferocious stock market rally.
The bond market indicator, which has predicted every recession since 1970, shows that the economy has about a 60 percent chance of contracting within 12 months.
The yield on Spain's 10-year bonds — an indicator of the government's borrowing costs and the risk of holding that debt — rose Tuesday to as high as 6.8 percent.
Mr. Horn estimates that he spends about 90percentt of his time poring over financial statements of the companies on his short list, paying special attention to executive stock option plans, convertible bonds and other indicators that shareholder value may be diluted.
The numerical simulations identify factors such as the level of strain induced in the plates and the direction of the shear stress at the collision zone, in the surface of flyer plates as indicators of bond strength.
It is yet another sign that the global economy is slowing (see the recent post on corporate bond spreads for another indicator).
New battery technologies, lower cost solar panels, a vast array of new finance mechanisms, the rampant growth of green bonds – these are all indicators that the organic growth of low carbon energy is much faster that we predicted just one year ago.
And emerging-market bond spreads, a good indicator of investors' attitude to risk, are around their lowest levels of the past 14 years.The stockmarket bulls feel there is little to worry about.
The 10-year Spanish bond — perhaps the greatest indicator of confidence, or in this case a lack of confidence — jumped higher, to about 6.5 percent, demonstrating that investors were now even more anxious about the country's ability to pay back its debts than they were the day before the bailout was announced.
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