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"Nihon no Jidai" (Japan's Era), by Keitaro Hasegawa, took the prize with its bold forecasts about how Japan would soon be managing the flow of money, people and goods around the world.It may be unfair to single out Mr Hasegawa just because his book sold more copies than the dozens of others that made similar extrapolations.
D. Kahneman and D. Lovallo, "Timid choices and bold forecasts: A cognitive perspective on risk taking".
Does the top predictor during the last ten years have any bold forecasts for the next ten?
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Which could of course just mean shouting at someone rather than confessing a secret, so it's not such a bold forecast about the combustible editor's weekend as it superficially seems to be.
In 1955, when the American Iron and Steel Institute had its annual meeting, at the Waldorf-Astoria, in New York, the No. 2 at Bethlehem Steel, Arthur Homer, made a bold forecast: domestic demand for steel, he said, would increase by fifty per cent over the next fifteen years.
No bold forecast on breeches.
Among the bolder forecasts doing the rounds is that a Chicago derivatives exchange might join forces with one of the European hubs.
They take more risk than the central banks that manage foreign-exchange reserves, by investing in shares and even hedge funds and private equity.Assuming a high oil price and a long global boom, the boldest forecasts suggested that the total amount of foreign assets held by governments could double in under a decade and that the proportion invested through SWFs would rise to over half.
SINCE B.C. Forbes put out the first issue in 1917, this magazine has tended to cock an eyebrow when a financial or economic expert made a too-bold forecast.
This month, in a speech he gave in Columbus, Ohio, McCain offered more detail on his bold proposal, forecasting that the league, once formed, would apply "stiff diplomatic and economic pressure" to force the government of Sudan to accept a peacekeeping force in Darfur.
The prediction isn't all that bold — like forecasting rapid growth of telephone service in countries where there currently isn't much.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com