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The general question of whether FiveThirtyEight ought to be better than prediction and betting markets is an interesting one.
In all but a few cases, seismic intensity prediction with frequency-dependent correction using site-correct filters worked better than prediction with scalar correction, showing the importance of considering the frequency characteristics of site amplification in seismic intensity predictions.
Prediction accuracy with D was better than prediction accuracy with V 2. However, performance metrics amongst the calibration dataset for D, particularly the explained variance, was poor (R 2 marg 0.18).
However, in many of these instances the misalignment affected only part of a repeat, or a minor fraction of the sequences in the alignment, and the scores obtained with the raw alignment were often still better than prediction threshold (data not shown).
While there is "cross-detection" between HEAT and ARM (i.e. matches to the respective other repeat type still come up with scores better than prediction thresholds), they usually do so with much lower rankings than the correct type (data not shown).
Moreover, the predictive power of tools that use a combination of structural motifs and AT-rich DNA is little better than prediction based on AT-content alone (Evans et al. 2007).
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Last year, the division's profits fell nearly 47percentto to $85 million from $160 million, although the performance was better than predictions.
In fact, the IPCC global surface warming projections have performed much better than predictions made by climate contrarians.
The predictions were shown to be as good as, or better than, predictions using the PT equation with conventional mixing rules.
Upon validation with a real dataset of phosphorylation sites, the method yielded accurate predictions that were similar or better than predictions obtained with existing methods.
An easy-to-use model for prediction of survival in unresectable pancreatic neoplasm is therefore proposed, which discriminates survival better than predictions based on only tumour size, the presence of liver metastases or performance status to decide treatment with chemotherapy.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com