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So even if, as the old joke goes, it's predicted nine out of the last five recessions, that's still a lot better than predicting zero out of the last 220.
Copernicus's heliocentric model did no better than predicting celestial events than the Ptolemaic system.
"The lack of aftereffect" is supposed to capture the idea that given any initial segment of a sequence, one cannot predict the probability of the next event any better than predicting it based on the limiting relative frequency of events in the infinite sequence.
Similar(57)
A reward that is better than predicted elicits an activation (positive prediction error response), a fully predicted reward draws no response, and a reward that is worse than predicted induces a depression (negative error response).
Almost every statistic has turned out better than predicted.
But they're doing much better than predicted.
British labour-market figures this week were better than predicted.
Although growth is better than predicted, tax receipts are still dire and bailout disbursements suspended.
Over the next twenty-four hours, Labour did better than predicted, which was not very well.
Performance of the tested archetype building is better than predicted by design or typical engineering assumptions.
Demand for chips has been battered by the downturn, but mobile handset sales fared much better than predicted.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com