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(d) (e) Snapshots of the slip velocity field (d) 20 years after and (e) 0.86 year before the occurrence time of the megathrust earthquake.
Time is relative to the 01 25 00, on April 16, 2016 (i.e., 5 s before the occurrence time of the Kumamoto earthquake).
Time is relative to 01 25 00 (JST), on April 16, 2016 (i.e., 5 s before the occurrence time of the Kumamoto earthquake).
(b) (c) Snapshots of the slip velocity field for the test model (b) 20 years after and (c) 0.86 year before the occurrence time of the megathrust earthquake, corresponding to Figs. 4 (d) and (e), respectively.
Firstly, the ETAS model is fitted to the original dataset with a target interval of [0, (T_1)], where (T_1=14.40) is just before the occurrence time of the second major shock, with different cutoff magnitudes.
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From the NOAA dataset, no heavy precipitation was identified, although there were light precipitations before and after the occurrence time of the Greenville earthquake (Fig. 7a).
Both RTL and RTM indicate abnormal decreases before the earthquake, which acquire a minimum within Tmax (see Eq. (6)) from the occurrence time.
M i and t i indicate the magnitude and the occurrence time of the ith earthquake, respectively, and H t represents the occurrence series of earthquakes (t i, M i ) before time t.
The occurrence times are shown.
The white triangles show the occurrence times of the eruptions.
The vertical dashed lines indicate the occurrence times of mainshocks.
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