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Don't worry, though; there hasn't been a large eruption in more than 3,000 years.
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If there's a large eruption, "we could potentially have millions of lives at risk.
It was estimated that there was already a caldera rim during the Motoyama eruption but that there had been a large-scale eruption forming a caldera even before 2.7 cal kBP.
Had it been a large-scale eruption (like the one in 1979) with large pyroclastic flows, many more would have been killed.
The 2011 Cordón Caulle (Chile) was a large silicic eruption that dispersed ashfall over 75,000 km2 of land in Central Argentina, affecting large parts of the Neuquén, Río Negro, and Chubut provinces, including the urban areas of Villa la Angostura, Bariloche and Jacobacci.
Imagine a process, extensive in space and time, which indicates with a 1 or a 0 whether there is an information link from a large eruption at a given location and date, through to today and an appearance in the database.
An estimated 1 million people are vulnerable to displacement should a large eruption occur.
Although small eruptions are more likely, the two-million-year eruptive history of the Ruiz Tolima massif includes numerous large eruptions, indicating that the threat of a large eruption cannot be ignored.
If a large eruption of volcano i is randomly and uniformly distributed in period j, then π ij is the probability of that eruption being recorded.
The function r represents the probability that a large eruption at time t is recorded in the LaMEVE database.
However, during the course of an eruption there can be a large variation of the grain sizes with time and distance as the eruption dynamics might change.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com