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The belief, which Rubio told me he shares, is that the stagnant economy will be the decisive issue in the campaign, and that Hispanic voters will vote as most other voters will to punish the Democratic incumbent.
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But these are not likely to be the decisive issues.
They should certainly not be the decisive issues in the referendum campaign.
And in some ways it's a daring bet, in some ways it's a very risky bet to think that these core issues that have been the issues that have defined your career are going to be the decisive issues first in the primary, then in the general election.
The group, 350 Action, said that Markey's opposition to the Keystone XL pipeline was the decisive issue.
Yet the basis of this defense, affording guidance for its application in particular circumstances, is as much in doubt today as it was when the defense was first recognized over forty years ago, although entrapment has been the decisive issue in many prosecutions.
"I would like to have seen it done today," Hubbard told reporters, "but it's just not going to happen". He explained that Davis needed "some clarifications". Trask doesn't remember the $10 million being the decisive issue for Davis.
This is also the decisive issue for Syria: From a position of strength, to which Assad has apparently returned somewhat, his regime will never be ready to make the necessary concessions.
Meanwhile England's Steven Finn said adapting to Australian conditions was not the decisive issue for the touring bowlers after a back-and-forth second day at The Gabba.
Governance may then be the decisive factor.
The crippling energy crisis was seen as the decisive issue in the general election on 11 May.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com