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Because the forecast errors from each method were analyzed using Page's test (see the Methods section), the methods differ only on the basis of the forecasting method.
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A comparison between these numbers forms the basis of the forecast model's likely voter adjustment, which shifts numbers from polls of registered voters toward Republican candidates since Republicans typically perform better on surveys that estimate how likely each voter is to actually participate in the election.
In this paper, the authors propose to use the functional reliability parameters as a criterion for consistent choice of a project solution on the basis of the forecast reliability parameters.
*Note the Met Office will still provide the BBC with severe weather warnings and the data for the shipping forecast on BBC Radio 4. Further, depending on who wins the new BBC contract, Met Office data could still provide the basis of the new forecasting service.
"The basis of that forecast relies on evidence that is not apparent," said Arthur Hogan of Jefferies & Co. "The economy is simply not growing fast enough to encourage the kind of inflationary trends that would warrant numerous rate hikes".
What's the basis of this forecast?
Regulators forecast demand and allow utilities to charge a price that would recoup their costs and earn a fixed return on the basis of that forecast.
And promising, on the basis of those forecasts and plans, to prioritise a pledge not to increase taxes over any commitment to responsible fiscal and economic policy, is precisely the wrong way to formulate a credible medium-term economic strategy.
"On the basis of this forecast Mr Brown will break his golden rule," says Peter Spencer, ITEM's economic adviser.The chancellor is in fiscal trouble because tax revenues are not rising as fast as the Treasury had predicted.
Monday's Salisbury meeting was rendered unraceable by a similar quantity of rain but Stickels said Ascot was certainly raceable and, on the basis of the current forecast, he did not feel there was a real possibility of Champions Day being lost or postponed.
Furthermore, in basis of the reasonable forecast about energy consumption structure and SO2 emissions at "12th five-year plan" period at Shijingshan district, the predictive result shows that the contribution of industry and energy structure effect into the decrease of SO2 emissions intensity will be 6.52% and 58.24%, respectively.
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