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"Whatever the Conservative Party may think about these seats being high up on their target list, their hopes of winning these seats in 2015 look like little better than a pipe-dream, based on this polling".
"In short, it is impossible to predict a result with any confidence based on this polling," a spokesman said.
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Based on this poll, at least, momentum appears to still be on the Republicans' side.
Based on this poll and the others, I have decided to switch Virginia from Obama to toss-up.
Based on this poll, and a prior survey the firm conducted in Michigan, we calculate the firm's house effect as leaning Republican by roughly 11 percentage points relative to the overall consensus.
Based on this poll, the official result - a victory for Ahmadinejad in the first round - was entirely predictable.
Thus, this analysis is based on the polling scheme presented in Section 2.3.
What's the most likely outcome based on the polling?
The company says it never produced advertisements based on the polling.
As Bump points out, he should be spending time in states where he's "close," which would be exactly a state like Pennsylvania based on this scenario of a systematic polling error.
On the Republican side, conservative political strategists do not envision their base flocking to the polls based on this issue alone — nothing like the effect in 2004 when voters in 11 states put initiatives to ban same-sex marriage on the ballot.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com