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Monte Carlo simulation was applied in the model output uncertainty analyses and used to derive safe mud windows based on probability estimates.
I then introduce volcanic hazard forecasts based on probability estimates, that instead guarantee clear distinction between scientific evaluations made by scientists, and decisions for the benefit of society (made by political decision-makers).
Marzocchi et al. (2012) and Selva et al. (2012, 2015) review major challenges in the scientific management of volcanic crises, and illustrate a general quantitative procedure based on probability estimates, which by analogy to approaches in seismology (Jordan et al. 2011) is defined by the authors as "operational eruption forecasting".
Because motif counts as well as exponential random graph models are based on probability estimates, they appear very useful to compare networks of different size.
For this reason we propose to use loci with a higher likelihood of providing unambiguous genotypes, which are particularly useful for determining clonality based on probability estimates.
Adjustment of overall HPV prevalence for these variables was done using the adjust command in Stata version 7.0, based on probability estimates from the logistic regression model.
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Because the sample was based on those who self-selected for participation rather than a sample based on probabilities, estimates of sampling error cannot be calculated.
Scores are either based on log ratios between probabilities of features calculated from Pint and P∼int, or based on probabilities estimated from Pint combined with prior expert knowledge (annotations).
We propose to use the restricted maximum likelihood estimation (REML) method [ 22] to obtain the model parameter estimates in (1) and furthermore compute the TDI estimate based on probability intervals by plugging in the REML estimates of μ D and σ D in (4).
We first trained the model using the WTCCC data and then generated a ROC curve based on its probability estimates.
The model is based on probabilities of resource use estimated by clinical experts for the US healthcare system.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com