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A plunge in global demand for Chinese exports prompted Beijing to reverse course temporarily and launch a mini-stimulus in mid-2013 based on higher spending on railway construction and other public works.
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Much of the recovery this year is based on higher consumer spending driven by the resurgence in the housing market.
The Bank, like many forecasters, points to rising investment and consumer spending, but much of the investment is in property and the consumer spending based on higher personal borrowing.
Bank of England credit figures appear to show that middle income families are paying down their debts at a slower pace to release funds for consumption rather than a splurge of spending based on higher consumer credit.
The research firm lowered the 2005 free-cash-flow estimate by 8% to $1.23 per share based on higher expected capital expenditure and product development spending.
Based on high tuition fees, these facts aren't surprising.
Their conclusion is based on high precision, high accuracy instrumental data with high scientific certainty.
(In fairness, I concede that these cuts are based on projected higher levels of spending, not today's levels of spending. But inflation still exists, however low, so the cuts will reduce the actual level of services that the government can deliver).
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"The previous drivers of the Russian economy - consumer spending and oil exports - are both exhausted and it needs a new driver based on a higher level of investment spending," says Chris Weafer, senior partner at economic consultancy firm Macro Advisory.
But as Alberto Alesina and Francesco Giavazzi, two Italian economists, have argued, budgetary tightening, as long as it is based on spending cuts rather than higher taxes, may even boost demand, because citizens expect to have lower tax bills in the future.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com