Foresight processes are often based on expert judgement.
In the second part, we develop transparency criteria based on expert judgement.
As a result, river flow standards used to manage water abstraction are largely based on expert judgement.
In the past, the traditional approach based on expert judgement using information provided in various handbooks, has been used for the selection of these benchmarks.
The impact of the recommendations on system effectiveness was qualitatively assessed, based on expert judgement of the partners involved in this study, for each of the above-mentioned areas.
This value was based on expert judgement and gas fluxes from analogous arc volcanoes that exhibit more explosive activity and degassing over similar two-year timescales, such as Mount Augustine (McGee et al, 2010).
However, like generation sites, IS3 is likely to occur in future eruptions and is therefore estimated with a probability 0.2 for the 51 300 mm bin (Fig. 4b), again based on expert judgement at this stage.
In this paper, a new risk assessment framework is developed to improve the fidelity and consistency of prioritisation of components of complex offshore engineering systems based on expert judgement.
While no available case studies document impacts at IS3, we assume they are likely to occur in future eruptions and therefore IS3 has been included in the fragility function with a probability 0.2 for the 51 300 mm bin (based on expert judgement).
The design of the tool was co-constructed with practitioners from the Scottish Environment Protection Agency SEPAandand therefore although the method is highly qualitative and based on expert judgement, it has already proven to be a valuable tool for use in a policy context to assess the potential scale and location of likely future changes in water quality.
