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The method, named Sustainability Assessment and Value Evaluation, combines two qualitative sustainability assessment techniques with a quantitative Net Present Value analysis based on alternative future scenarios.
Countries, regions and the global community benefit from periodic forward-looking global assessments based on alternative future scenarios for food and agriculture, and thematic studies of global relevance.
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As it is uncertain to what extent territorial policies will be effective, we examined a number of policy scenarios based on alternative assumptions about: (1) future developments in economic trends, innovation and climate change, and (2) the implementation and effectiveness of regional cohesion policies.
In scenario processes, it is reasonable to speak just about the increased plausibility of a single scenario and not about its increased validity or probability.4 On the other hand, it is reasonable to assume that the total picture based on alternative scenarios or the Futures Map is more valid if it takes into account the new weak signal.
Following the PEM idea, conflicts could perhaps be more resolvable (and less divisive or ideological) when assessing and comparing concrete future scenarios based on alternative disputed normative ideas, rather than potentially endless disputes about the abstract normative ideas themselves (Kowarsch and Edenhofer, 2016).
This report explores three different scenarios for the future of food and agriculture, based on alternative trends for key drivers, including income growth and distribution, population growth, technical progress and climate change.
Fault tolerance based on alternative itinerary planning.
Fig. 5 Fault tolerance based on alternative itinerary planning.
Graeber believes that since the 1970s there has been a shift from technologies based on realising alternative futures to investment technologies that favoured labour discipline and social control.
Foresight can be defined as action-oriented and participatory strategic intelligence focused on alternative futures.
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com