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ballot polls" to win a majority of congressional districts.
Other generic ballot polls have not necessarily followed suit, however, and are all over the map.
Democrats have done well in special elections and hold a lead in generic ballot polls.
So are the results of generic ballot polls, which show a roughly tied race for the U.S. House.
Nor is it clear that special elections have predictive power above and beyond other factors, like economic performance and generic ballot polls.
The most recent "generic ballot" polls have shown either a rough tie between the parties in voter preferences for Congress, or Democrats very slightly ahead.
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Other counties use ballot polling, which is less efficient.
The resulting audit is substantially more efficient than statewide ballot polling.
For smaller margins, ballot polling can require auditing many more ballots; however, there are more efficient risk-limiting methods.
The history of generic ballot polling as a House predictor is iffy.
Ballot polling would let most states with paper trails confirm presidential elections at 10percentt risk by auditing a few hundred ballots, on average.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com