Exact(4)
We found that representation of the long-term average warm season O3 distribution, cumulative O3 statistics, surface weather conditions and frequency of synoptic-scale weather patterns with a combined absolute error of less than 20% requires, on average, five consecutive warm seasons.
Carbon budgets2,3,4,5 consistent with remaining below 1.5 °C warming, reported in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5 2,6,8, are directly based on Earth system model (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 7 responses, which, on average, warm more than observations in response to historical CO2 emissions and other forcings8,9.
From the CRU05 data we calculated the additional metrics of minimum temperature, degree days and average warm season (as opposed to annual) precipitation.
"Haiti experienced above average warm air temperatures, in Figure 7A (representing 50 years of average air temperatures over Haiti taken from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [NOAA] reanalysis data).
Similar(56)
On the days when she could barely drag herself out of bed, she skated only two or three laps, fewer than the average warm-up.
This 2050 target was consistent with limiting average warming to 2°C above pre-industrial levels.
The term urban heat island (UHI) describes a phenomenon where cities are on average warmer than the surrounding rural area.
In 2009, for example, the UK Meteorological Office predicted average warming of 4C if current carbon emission trends continue unchecked.
The average warming for the next five years could be as much as 0.59 °C, or as little as 0.28 °C.
This lower level of total average warming cuts megadrought risk almost in half compared to predictions based on continued high emissions.
Gavin Schmidt, director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, estimated that El Niño accounted for 0.07˚C of the above average warming that occurred in 2015.
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