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An International Energy Agency scenario that assumes the implementation of all agreed national policies and announced commitments to save energy and reduce the use of fossil fuels projects a 35% increase in energy consumption in the next 25 years, with fossil fuels up 24%.
The authors constructed a business-as-usual scenario and an alternative scenario which assumes the implementation of a restrictive policy framework toward the reduction of energy consumption, the improvement of energy efficiency, and other improvements.
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The CLE emissions, assuming the implementation of current air quality legislation, show reductions in all anthropogenic air pollutants (except for ammonia).
Therefore, further efforts are necessary to improve air quality with respect to ozone: assuming the implementation of current air quality legislation, the European anthropogenic emissions of ozone precursors are expected to decline until 20503.
Assuming the implementation of the White Paper (EC 2011) targets, this is the projected split between these two modes.
For moderate and severe pandemic scenarios, we assumed the implementation of AVT with Tamiflu (F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, BaSwitzerlandrland) in all countries with available stockpiles [see Supplemental Material, Figure 4 (doi:10.1289/ehp.1002757)] (Colizza et al. 2007; Singer et al. 2008).
The results reported here ought to be considered as an assessment of the mitigating impact of AV treatment alone, based on the initial conditions estimated for the H1N1 outbreak, and assuming the implementation of the same AV protocol in all countries of the world.
The goal is to prove as many properties as possible at each abstract level, assuming the implementations of the methods called upon will be correct.
The forecasts are based on a so-called "New Policies" scenario, which accounts for the broad policy commitments that have already been announced and assumes the "cautious implementation of national pledges" to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 2020, and to reform fossil fuel subsidies.
According to this scenario, which assumes the successful implementation of all agreed national policies and announced commitments designed to save energy and reduce use of fossil fuels, energy use will increase 33%% in the period 2010 2035, while the use of fossil fuels will increase 23%% (the increases come almost entirely from non-OECD countries).
This paper assumes the process of implementation of a GVET as an isolated project.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com