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In other words, contours meant the area of high probability of the fingertips.
These two peaks are easily observed in Figure 1C as one large area of high probability.
In the case of JOC, we can distinguish clearly one area of high probability.
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The HMC uses the molecular dynamics (MD) steps as the global Monte Carlo (MC) moves to reach areas of high probability where the gradient of the log-density of the Posterior acts as a guide during the search process.
The risk map also shows areas of high probability the tick will become established if introduced.
There are some larger connected areas of high probability, but many areas with high likelihood of occurrence are punctuated with lower likelihood patches.
BSA breaks the resolution and precision limitations inherent to FFT by introducing a continuous probability distribution instead of the fixed number of points and can therefore sample the posterior more finely in areas of high probability.
An area of "highest probability" has been identified near the centre of the arc.
The Metron statisticians now adapted their model to this possible scenario and came up with a new area of highest probability.
"It was by no means an unrealistic location but it was further to the north east than our area of highest probability," Chris Ashton at Inmarsat tells Horizon.
It was based on work regarding "how the aircraft might have performed and how it might have been flown", to choose the "area of highest probability as to where it might have entered the water".
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com