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A few minutes later, he published his final analysis of the polls in the race.
We can get pretty detail-oriented in our analysis of the polls here at FiveThirtyEight.
The FiveThirtyEight model represents a complicated analysis of the polls, but in this case, simplicity is on its side.
This critique fails, however, since the simplest analysis of the polls would argue that Mr. Obama is winning.
The FiveThirtyEight model represents a complicated analysis of the polls, but simplicity is on its side, in this case.
The fact is, even the simplest analysis of the polls — just averages of all the likely voter polls in the FiveThirtyEight database, applying no other weighting or "secret sauce" — would argue that Mr. Obama is leading.
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Full analysis of the poll results by Mr. Nagourney and Ms. Connelly here.
"So how did the Republican candidates' switch work?" asked Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac Poll, in his analysis of the polling data.
Stephen Miller, of City University, who led the analysis of the poll data, said the figures showed a majority of British Jews held dovish views of the conflict.
The paper carried an analysis of the poll result by Lynton Crosby, the Tory party strategist, in which he wrote that one of the largest shifts in voting intention has occurred among Tory voters.
Senator Jerry Moran of Kansas, who is the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said that his analysis of the polling data and discussions with Mr. Gomez and others led him to conclude that the race is "clearly winnable".
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com