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They insist that they were just off on timing, or blindsided by an improbable event, or almost right, or wrong for the right reasons.
If this had ended the bidding, admittedly an improbable event, he would have been surprised to find himself, against likely defenses, running a club suit instead.
These doubts could lead considering Seveso mishap as a "black swan" incident, i.e. an improbable event characterized by three peculiarities: it is not expected; it has an extreme impact; it is explainable and predictable after the fact.
That means we had about a 37% probability of an earthquake of that magnitude happening on Boobquake just due to chance alone – hardly an improbable event that needs to be attributed to an angry deity.
But at Venice, a noisy Italian bistro in the Morris Park section of the Bronx, an improbable event was taking place at that moment: the first official meeting of a nascent Bronx County Young Republican Club.
Prigogine et al. developed a heuristic model in which life originated as an improbable event and evolved into increasingly improbable states.
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But unless indictments had touched the top ranks of the Energy Department and beyond--an improbable event--it is hard to see how they would have revealed a widespread public policy tragedy.
Demonstration of high structural reliability of them by extensive experimental and theoretical studies renders the double-ended guillotine rupture (DEGR) of a primary pipe a highly improbable event.
The result is that many more than one in a billion flights are affected by smoke and fume incidents, and so this cannot, in industry parlance, be regarded as "an extremely improbable event".
The concept of black swan refers to a highly improbable event that is difficult to anticipate, but if realised, will have dramatic, global impacts.
Alternatively, other recombination proteins than RAG may be involved (it is difficult to formally disprove a non RAG-dependent mechanism as it would require creating a double KO mice either by knocking out both genes in ES cells or by crossing RAG-1 and RAG-2 KO mice, a highly improbable event due to the physical linkage of the two loci).
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